Intrinsic value
Intrinsic value is the estimated economic value of an asset or company based on its fundamental characteristics — cash flow generation capacity, growth prospects, risk profile — independently of observable market prices. It is determined through analytical valuation methods, primarily the DCF model, which derives value from the asset's own projected performance discounted at a risk-adjusted rate. Intrinsic value may diverge significantly from market price in the short term — but tends to converge over time. In business valuation, it provides the theoretical anchor for transaction pricing and counterbalances the market approach when comparable data is scarce or unrepresentative.
Example: a Swiss technology company trades at CHF 15.0 per share (market price). Hectelion's DCF analysis, based on 8 years of projected free cash flows discounted at a WACC of 10.5%, produces an intrinsic value of CHF 19.5 per share — a 30% premium to market, suggesting the market is undervaluing the company's long-term growth prospects. This intrinsic value gap supports the acquirer's offer at CHF 18.0 per share as creating immediate value for shareholders.
Hectelion uses intrinsic value analysis as the theoretical foundation for every DCF valuation, triangulated against market-based approaches to produce robust and defensible value conclusions.
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